Table of Contents
Executive Summary
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- The market
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- Figure 1: Forecast for UK pub industry revenues, 2008-18
- Figure 2: Structure of the UK pub industry, by ownership/tenancy type, 1992-2012
- Market factors
- Declining alcohol consumption plays a part in fall in pub visits
- The pressure of rising costs
- Consumer confidence bounces back
- Population changes will have an impact…
- …as will external factors
- Companies, brands and innovation
- The consumer
- One in five adults drink in pubs weekly
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- Figure 3: Frequency of visiting pubs/bars to drink and eat in, February 2014
- Quality of food and service are most important factors for pub visits
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- Figure 4: Important factors during pub visits – Any mention of importance, February 2014
- Some 46% of pub visitors think it is important for pubs to offer high-quality food
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- Figure 5: Attitudes towards pubs, February 2014
- Recommendations key for pubs
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- Figure 6: Engagement with pubs outside visiting, February 2014
- What we think
Issues and Insights
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- The rejuvenation and importance of ‘pub grub’
- The facts
- The implications
- Live sports on TV are a ‘nice to have’ rather than a ‘must have’
- The facts
- The implications
- Pubs also need to tap into the family market
- The facts
- The implications
- Many pubs that have survived are well placed to now thrive
- The facts
- The implications
Trend Application
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- Trend: Locavore
- Trend: Access All Areas
- Mintel Futures: Old Gold
Internal Market Environment
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- Key points
- Alcohol consumption and pub visits in decline
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- Figure 7: Trends in UK per capita consumption of 100% alcohol, 2000-12
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- Figure 8: Volume trends in the sales of beer, by channel, 2008-13
- Figure 9: Index of price of beer and wine in the on- and off-trade, 2007-13
- Good news from the government
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- Figure 10: UK excise duty rates for selected alcoholic drinks, 2003-14
- Alcohol minimum pricing plans shelved in England and Wales
- The pub industry continues to shrink
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- Figure 11: Net number of pub closures, December 2007-December 2013
- The tenant/pubco relationship looks set to change
- Business rates are also an issue
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- Figure 12: Trends in the average rateable value of pubs in England and Wales, 2005 and 2013
- Times of change for late-night drinkers?
- Best Bar None
- National Pubwatch
- Purple Flag
- Business Improvement Districts
- Local Alcohol Action Areas
- Bills, bills, bills
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- Figure 13: Trends in utility prices paid by non-domestic consumers (including the climate change levy), 2008-13
- The majority of pubs continue to show live sport
Broader Market Environment
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- Key points
- Consumer confidence bounces back
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- Figure 14: Consumer Confidence Index, monthly, January 2007-March 2014
- Health considerations play a part in drinking habits
- Pubs and the smoking ban
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- Figure 15: Attitudes towards smoking in pubs/bars, June 2013
- An ageing population needs consideration
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- Figure 16: Projected trends in the age structure of the UK population, 2013-18
- C2DEs could hold the key to growth
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- Figure 17: Projected changes in the socio-economic structure of the UK adult population, 2013-18
- The weather influences pub visits…
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- Figure 18: Hours of sunshine in the UK, by month, 2008-14
- …as could the World Cup
Competitive Context
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- Key points
- Pubs/bars prove to be resilient
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- Figure 19: Value of the UK leisure* industry, by segment, 2013
- Value sales growth hides a mixed volume performance in alcoholic drinks
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- Figure 20: Value sales of selected alcoholic drink categories, 2008-13
Strengths and Weaknesses
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- Strengths
- Weaknesses
Who’s Innovating?
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- Key points
- Coverage
- Driving value for customers…
- …to driving quality
- Drink-driving remains a thorny issue
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- Figure 21: Deaths from drink-driving in Britain, 2006-12
- Pubs and the community
- Entertaining the masses
Market Size and Segmentation
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- Key points
- Overall market growth masks a mixed performance in 2013
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- Figure 22: UK pub industry market size and forecast, 2008-18
- Marginal value growth for alcoholic drinks
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- Figure 23: UK pub industry turnover, by segment, 2009-13
- The importance of a strong food offering
- Soft drinks sales plateau
- The leased/tenanted market is struggling
- Forecast
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- Figure 24: Forecast for UK pub industry revenues, 2008-18
Market Share
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- Key points
- Managed operators continue to thrive and grow
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- Figure 25: Structure of the UK pub industry, by ownership/tenancy type, 1992-2012
- Figure 26: Turnover of leading pub operators in the UK, 2011/12 and 2012/13
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- Figure 27: Leading pub operators in the UK, by outlet numbers, 2012 vs 2013
- Leased/tenanted venues continue to struggle
- Potential for the freehold/independent segment to thrive
Companies and Products
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- Figure 28: Leading pub operators in the UK, by outlet numbers, 2011-13
- Figure 29: Business mix of leading pub operators in the UK, 2013
- Enterprise Inns
- Company overview
- Financial information
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- Figure 30: Key financial data for Enterprise Inns PLC, 2009-13
- Figure 31: Enterprise Inns PLC turnover, by segment, 2012 and 2013
- Corporate strategy and recent developments
- Marketing support
- Greene King plc
- Company overview
- Financial information
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- Figure 32: Key financial data for Greene King PLC, 2009-13
- Figure 33: Greene King PLC revenue, by segment, 2012 and 2013
- Corporate strategy and recent developments
- Marketing support
- JD Wetherspoon plc
- Company overview
- Financial information
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- Figure 34: Key financial data for JD Wetherspoon Plc, 2009-13
- Corporate strategy and recent developments
- Marketing support
- Mitchells & Butlers plc
- Company overview
- Financial information
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- Figure 35: Key financial data for Mitchells & Butlers Plc, 2009-13
- Corporate strategy and recent developments
- Marketing support
- Punch Taverns
- Company overview
- Financial information
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- Figure 36: Key financial data for Punch Taverns PLC, 2012 and 2013
- Figure 37: Punch Taverns PLC revenue, by segment, 2012 and 2013
- Corporate strategy and recent developments
- Marketing support
- Spirit Pub Company
- Company overview
- Financial information
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- Figure 38: Key financial data for Spirit Pub Company PLC, 2010-13
- Figure 39: Spirit Pub Company PLC revenue, by segment, 2012 and 2013
- Corporate strategy and recent developments
- Marketing support
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Brand Communication and Promotion
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- Key points
- Advertising continues to fall
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- Figure 40: Total above-the-line adspend in the UK by brewers and pubcos, 2010-13
- Adspend highly fragmented and geared towards press
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- Figure 41: Expenditure on advertising, by brewers and pubcos, by channel, 2010-13
The Consumer – Frequency of Visiting Pubs
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- Key points
- One in five adults drink in pubs weekly
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- Figure 42: Frequency of visiting pubs/bars to drink and eat in, February 2014
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- Figure 43: Frequency of visiting pubs/bars to drink in, by gender, February 2014
- Three clusters of pub drinkers
- Little year-on-year change in pub usage
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- Figure 44: Frequency of visiting pubs/bars to eat and drink in, February 2013 vs February 2014
The Consumer – Important Factors During Pub Visits
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- Key points
- Quality of food and service are most important factors during pub visits
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- Figure 45: Important factors during pub visits – Any mention of importance, February 2014
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- Figure 46: Most important factors (ranked 1) during pub visits, February 2014
- Is the price right?
- Cleanliness of toilets and appealing facilities seen as ‘nice to haves’
- Furniture and facilities matter to a minority
- Range and entertainment can support pubs’ appeal
- Live entertainment sparks minority interest
The Consumer – Attitudes Towards Pubs
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- Key points
- Summary of attitudes towards pubs
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- Figure 47: Attitudes towards pubs, February 2014
- The importance of food to pubs
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- Figure 48: Attitudes towards the quality/appearance of pubs, February 2014
- Pubs in the community
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- Figure 49: Attitudes towards the positioning of pubs and visiting trends, February 2014
- Children in pubs divide opinion
- Interest in trying new pubs
- Cost plays a part in shaping pub visiting
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- Figure 50: Attitudes towards the cost of going to pubs, February 2014
- Limited interest in new entertainment concepts
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- Figure 51: Attitudes towards themed discounts and subsidised taxi service, February 2014
The Consumer – Engagement with Pubs
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- Key points
- Recommendations key for pubs/bars
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- Figure 52: Engagement with pubs outside visiting, February 2014
- An up-to-date online presence is increasingly expected
- Other forms of engagement only garner a niche response
Appendix – Broader Market Environment
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- Figure 53: Attitudes towards smoking in pubs/bars, by demographics, July 2013
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Appendix – Who’s Innovating?
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- Figure 54: Agreement with the statement “Pubs should be available at motorway service stations”, by demographics, January 2014
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Appendix – Market Size and Segment Performance
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- Figure 55: Best- and worst-case forecasts for the UK pub industry, by value, 2013-18
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Appendix – The Consumer – Frequency of Visiting Pubs
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- Figure 56: Frequency of visiting pubs/bars to eat in, February 2014
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- Figure 57: Frequency of visiting pubs/bars to drink in, February 2014
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- Figure 58: Highest frequencies of visiting pubs/bars to drink in, by demographics, February 2014
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- Figure 59: Other frequencies of visiting pubs/bars to drink in, by demographics, February 2014
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- Figure 60: Frequency of visiting pubs/bars to drink in, by most popular attitudes towards pubs, February 2014
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- Figure 61: Frequency of visiting pubs/bars to drink in, by next most popular attitudes towards pubs, February 2014
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Appendix – The Consumer – Important Factors During Pub Visits
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- Figure 62: Important factors during pub visits, February 2014
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- Figure 63: Most popular factors during pub visits, by demographics, February 2014
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- Figure 64: Next most popular factors during pub visits, by demographics, February 2014
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- Figure 65: Other factors during pub visits, by demographics, February 2014
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- Figure 66: Most important factors during pub visits, February 2014
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- Figure 67: Most popular factors during pub visits – Rank 1, by demographics, February 2014
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Appendix – The Consumer – Attitudes Towards Pubs
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- Figure 68: Attitudes towards pubs, February 2014
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- Figure 69: Most popular attitudes towards pubs, by demographics, February 2014
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- Figure 70: Next most popular attitudes towards pubs, by demographics, February 2014
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- Figure 71: Other attitudes towards pubs, by demographics, February 2014
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Appendix – The Consumer – Engagement with Pubs
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- Figure 72: Engagement with pubs outside visits, February 2014
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- Figure 73: Engagement with pubs outside visits, by demographics, February 2014
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- Figure 74: Engagement with pubs outside visits, by demographics, February 2014 (continued)
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- Figure 75: Engagement with pubs outside visits, by most popular frequencies of visiting pubs/bars to drink in, February 2014
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- Figure 76: Engagement with pubs outside visits, by next most popular frequencies of visiting pubs/bars to drink in, February 2014
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